Ruminations

Blog dedicated primarily to randomly selected news items; comments reflecting personal perceptions

Saturday, December 24, 2016

Just When You Think . . . .Global Warming  . . "The New Little Ice Age Has Started"

"The average temperature around the globe will fall by about 1.5 C when we enter the deep cooling phase of the Little Ice Age, expected in the year 2060. The cooling phase will last for about 45 - 65 years, for four to six 11-year cycles of the Sun, after which on the Earth, at the beginning of the 22nd century, will begin the new, next quasi-bicentennial cycle of warming."
"Deep cooling in the new Little Ice Age in the middle of this century would make it almost impossible to exploit offshore fields and pump oil and gas tens to hundreds of kilometres from the coast at depths of hundreds of meters."
"The world must start preparing for the new Little Ice Age right now. Politicians and business leaders must make full economic calculations of the impact of the new Little Ice Age on everything -- industry, agriculture, living conditions, development. The most reasonable way to fight against the new Little Ice Age is a complex of special steps aimed at support of economic growth and energy-saving production to adapt mankind to the forthcoming period of deep cooling."
Russian Academy of Science Pulkovo Observatory, St. Petersburg study: The New Little Ice Age Has Started
 Temperatures across the world in the 1880s (left) and the 1980s (right).
Imagine that. The world was placed on notice over a decade ago by environmental scientists, confirmed by no less an authority than NASA that we were in the critical throes of Global Warming  whose galloping oncoming presence was giving us all manner of atmospheric one-of-a-kind natural calamities in storms-of-the-century, runaway wildfires, volcanic eruptions, mind-shattering earthquakes and tsunamis, and the spectre of rising oceans as ageless ice caps at the top and bottom of the world melt, ensuring that island-states and oceanic coastlines would be engulfed.

When some of the warning fizzled out as wait-for-them weather catastrophes failed to materialize as models suggested, the tune on the dial was changed from Global Warming to Climate Change. When it was pointed out by geologists, environmentalists and others that climate is always in flux and moves in cycles, that extraordinary natural weather phenomenon leading to insecurity has always vexed humankind, frustrating its ability to predict natural occurrences as regular, synchronized events staged by Mother Nature, the leading theory of human-activity-based environmental degradation waned.

Now, this newly published study by lead researcher and study author, astrophysicist Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of space research at Pulkovo Observatory, informs the world that the study of the Sun's various cycles and solar activity resulting therefrom, as long suspected, is responsible for the arrival of another little ice age. The model upon which the study was based no other than Planet Earth's 18 earlier such ice ages over the period of 7,500 years, six of which occurred in the past thousand years, led to the conclusion that the next ice age would present between 2012 and 2015.


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This world class scientific head of space research in St. Petersburg has succeeded in having his predictions affirmed by the occurrences of actual climatic events, not merely predicted occurrences; irradiation sent earthward by the sun among them, measured and accounted for. He is now prepared to state with confidence that in 2014 to 2015, Earth was launched upon the entry into its 19th Little Ice Age event. Which will lead not to the anticipated opening of the Arctic and melting of Antarctica's massive glaciers, but a continued deep freeze.

That deep freeze will place a skidding halt to exploiting the known vastness of the energy riches existing under the Arctic Ocean which geological surveys identify as the source of more petroleum that exists anywhere else on Earth or under its seas. The recent declaration by the President of the United States and the Prime Minister of Canada that permission to exploit those riches in their geographic zones of the Arctic will  be denied appear coincidental. They are not, however, risking much when the near future will make such exploitation practically impossible, while sounding bravely authoritative, cleaving to Global Warming.

So manmade factors do not enter into Dr. Abdussamatov's calculations, while his prolonged cooling spell is seen to be conclusively resulting from solar factors. Sunspots are disappearing from the hydrogen-rich face of our Galaxy's sun. It was noted on a previous occasion, the Little Ice Age of the late 1600s, when Henry VIII was able to skate on the frozen-over Thames, that sunspots and solar flares had disappeared. Validation of this theory has been shared by the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan.

In Wales last year at the National Astronomy Meeting, European researchers produced a scientific model that predicted a "mini ice age" to occur from 2030 to 2040 reflecting a pause in solar activity. That freezing condition will bring a halt to energy development leading to a requirement for energy conservation of an increasingly scarce commodity, at a time when prevailing world temperatures will call out for greater need for warmth for populations huddling against a protracted cold they had little reason to anticipate when warmth was the prevailing prediction.

A planet that is the living quarters for billions of human beings, a vast variety of plant life and a Noah's Arc multitude of  other animals, all of which thrive in the current climatic conditions, will be hard pressed to prepare for an underheated planet. Dr. Abdussamatov urges that his conclusion and his prediction must be recognized and immediate steps taken to introduce measures that will aid all living organisms to survive a coming onslaught of dense freezing atmospheric challenges.

At a time when most governments are fully engaged in pledging action against global warming caused by human action. "The upcoming climate change will be the most important challenge and a priority issue for the world and define the main events in politics, the economy, and the most important areas of the whole of humanity in the coming decades."

Climate Depot

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